New voter polling data reveals that former President Donald Trump enjoys a seven-point lead against Vice President Kamala Harris in the 2024 Presidential Election. The Public Opinion Research Lab at the University of North Florida (UNF) polled 774 likely voters across the state, and 49% of respondents said Trump would get their vote if the election were held today, with 42% indicating a vote for Vice President Kamala Harris and 4% saying they would vote for another candidate. Six percent were either undecided or refused to answer.
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Rick Scott vs. Debbie Mucarsel-Powell
When voters were polled on Florida’s open seat in the U.S. Senate, 47% said they’d vote for the Republican incumbent Senator Rick Scott, compared to the 43% who expressed they’d vote for Democratic candidate Debbie Mucarsel-Powell.
Florida Statewide Amendments
A silver lining for Democrats was found in the results for constitutional amendments, which showed traditionally conservative positions losing in the amendments involving recreational marijuana and abortion.
Amendment 1: Partisan school boards
Amendment 1, titled “Partisan Election of Members of District School Boards,” which could have the potential to further politicize education in the state, received more mixed results.
40% of respondents said they would vote “no,” 37% said “yes,” and 23% either did not know or refused to answer.
Amendment 3: Recreational Marijuana
63% of respondents said they would vote to pass Amendment Three, which would allow recreational use of marijuana for adults. A 60% supermajority vote is required for the approval of the amendment.
Amendment 4: Abortion
On Amendment Four, which would limit the government’s interference with abortion access, 69% indicated a vote of “Yes,” and just 23% said “No.” Eight percent said they did not know or refused to answer. This is somewhat more support than it received from registered voters last Fall when 62% said they would vote “Yess,” and 29% said they would vote “No.”
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